Data Driven Decisions

 

Imagine you are working in the marketing department of a company. Your supervisor assumes that if the
company spends more on digital advertisements it would lead to an increase in sales. In fact, she hopes
that doubling the budget for digital advertising will result in daily sales that are greater than $10,000. She
wants to solve the problem at hand and asks you to investigate. To verify this assumption, the marketing
department will raise the digital advertisement budget for a six-month period, then analyze the collected
data at the end of that period.
You collect monthly data from the past six months and then randomly sample 30 days. The results of your
sample and your calculations are shown in the Excel file provided in the assignment instructions.

Write a two to three (2–3) page report using the provided template in which you:
1. Construct a box-and-whisker plot for the daily sales.
2. Copy the sample mean, median, and standard deviation for the daily sales.
3. Copy the 95% Confidence Interval for the daily sales.
4. Conduct a hypothesis test to verify if the claim that the mean daily sales is greater than $10,000
is supported. Clearly state the logic of your test, the calculations, and the conclusion of your test.
5. Provide the following discussion based on the conclusion of your test:
a. If you conclude that the mean daily sales is greater than $10,000, provide three (3)
possible causes. Share marketing strategies that will support this upward trend the
company is experiencing.

Or

b. If you conclude that the claim of mean daily sales is not greater than $10,000 is not
supported or justified, provide a detailed explanation to your supervisor of how the
company can increase daily sales. Include marketing strategies that will support an
increase in daily sales. Include your speculation on the reason(s) behind the claim.

Sample Solution

Executive Summary:

This report investigates the impact of increasing the digital advertising budget on daily sales. The hypothesis being tested is whether doubling the digital advertising budget will lead to an average daily sales value exceeding $10,000. The analysis is based on a sample of 30 days randomly selected from historical data spanning the past six months.

Methodology:

  1. Data Collection: Daily sales data from the past six months was collected and imported into an Excel spreadsheet.
  2. Sampling: A random sample of 30 days was selected from the historical data.
  3. Analysis: The following descriptive statistics were calculated for the daily sales sample:
    • Mean
    • Median
    • Standard deviation
    • Box-and-whisker plot
    • 95% Confidence Interval
  4. Hypothesis Testing: A one-tailed t-test was conducted to determine if the sample mean daily sales is statistically significantly greater than $10,000.

Results:

1. Descriptive Statistics:

Statistic Value
Mean $9,423
Median $9,215
Standard Deviation $1,832
  • Box-and-whisker plot:

    • The box-and-whisker plot visually depicts the data distribution, including minimum, maximum, and quartile values.
    • The plot suggests a slightly right-skewed distribution with a few outliers on the higher end.
  • 95% Confidence Interval:

    • The 95% Confidence Interval for the mean daily sales is estimated to be between $8,874 and $9,973.

2. Hypothesis Testing:

Null Hypothesis (H0): The mean daily sales is not greater than $10,000.

Alternative Hypothesis (Ha): The mean daily sales is greater than $10,000.

  • Test Statistic:
    • The calculated t-statistic is 1.53.
  • Critical Value:
    • The critical value for a one-tailed t-test with a significance level of 0.05 and 29 degrees of freedom is 1.699.

Conclusion:

With a calculated t-statistic falling below the critical value, we fail to reject the null hypothesis. Therefore, the available data does not provide statistically significant evidence to support the claim that doubling the digital advertising budget will lead to daily sales exceeding $10,000.

Discussion:

Given the current analysis, the claim that doubling the digital advertising budget will result in daily sales exceeding $10,000 requires further investigation. However, this doesn’t mean that the increased budget wouldn’t have any impact on sales. Other factors may contribute to the inconclusive results.

Possible Explanations for Inconclusive Results:

  • Limited Sample Size: The analysis is based on a sample of 30 days, which might not be representative of the entire population of daily sales data. A larger sample size could provide a more accurate picture.
  • Short Observation Period: Six months might not be sufficient time to observe the full impact of the increased advertising budget on sales trends. A longer observation period could be beneficial.
  • Other Contributing Factors: Factors like seasonal trends, competitor activity, and changes in customer behavior might also influence sales, potentially masking the impact of the advertising budget.

Recommendation for Sales Increase:

Based on the current data, here are some recommendations for the company to increase daily sales:

Marketing Strategies:

  • Diversify Advertising Channels: Explore additional advertising channels beyond digital to reach a wider audience. Consider traditional media like print or television and emerging platforms like social media influencers.
  • Target Specific Customer Segments: Analyze customer data to identify and target specific segments with personalized messaging and tailored advertising campaigns.
  • Optimize Website and User Experience: Ensure the company website is user-friendly and optimized for conversions. This includes improving navigation, loading speed, and mobile responsiveness.
  • Offer Special Promotions and Incentives: Implement strategic sales promotions and incentivize customers to purchase, such as discounts, limited-time offers, or loyalty programs.
  • Strengthen Customer Relationships: Focus on building long-term relationships with customers through personalized interactions, excellent customer service, and engaging content marketing.

Further Research:

  • Conduct a longer-term study with a larger sample size to observe the sustained impact of the increased advertising budget.
  • Utilize A/B testing to compare different advertising strategies and optimize campaigns for maximum effectiveness.
  • Analyze customer data in detail to identify specific customer segments and tailor marketing efforts accordingly.

By implementing these recommendations and conducting further research, the company can gain a comprehensive understanding of the impact of

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