Fuzzy Decision Making

 

When uncertainty exists, how does one evaluate the universe of possible outcomes?
Unfortunately, there is no one steadfast rule on how to anticipate what a correct decision might be. However, there are a set of tools and practices that healthcare administration leaders can use to help make the best decision possible given data for a particular set of circumstances. One such example is that of fuzzy decision making, wherein a healthcare administration leader attempts to wrap human expertise around a set of guidelines to enhance workflow and performance. While not all circumstances may lend themselves to fuzzy decision making, understanding what these tools are is a useful practice when managing a health services organization.

For this Discussion, reflect on the concept of fuzzy decision making for healthcare administration practice. Consider how you, as a current or future healthcare administration leader, may engage in fuzzy decision making for your health services organization.

Post a description of how you would define fuzzy decision making for healthcare administration practice. Then, explain how you might implement fuzzy decision making to evaluate decisions when uncertainty exists. Provide an example where fuzzy decision making might be important for your work or life, and explain why. Be specific and provide examples.

 

Sample Solution

 

Fuzzy Decision Making

The efficient use of resources in health systems is important due to the demand and limited funding. Large health systems often have fixed input resources (such as budget and staffing) to be allocated among individual hospitals/clinics with particular target output levels. Therefore, health care decision-makers are in search of analytical methods that systematically deal with these strategic and policy challenges and utilize the existing resources while conforming with target performance levels. An optimization model with fuzzy constraints can help decision-makers perform sensitivity analysis and automatically re-allocate system input resources for different levels of risk preferences. Fuzzy decision making is the collection of single or multicriteria techniques aiming at selecting the best alternative in case of imprecise, incomplete, and vague data.

Folklore plays an enormous role in the formation not only of a sense of national identity, but of personal identity too – as children, many of us grow up listening to folktales involving talking animals, wicked witches, supernatural beings and magical powers, and these tales tend significantly influence our development. They can be moralizing or purely aesthetic: regardless, folktales capture the imagination and instil a sense of wonder in the listener, continuing an ancient oral tradition that links us to our ancestors. Many of the elements of folklore and the folktale are shared between cultures – the supernatural, for example, or the enduring figure of the evil, ugly old witch – but Russia enjoys a particularly rich and vibrant body of work deriving from these influences. Although interest in the folktale (skazka, in Russian) and in folkloric influences only became truly prominent in the 19th century onwards, it has had an enormous impact upon the nation’s culture, particularly in the arts. Countless writers have produced both prose and verse that is permeated with folk influences, including Lermontov, Gogol’, Pushkin and Blok. The legacy of folklore is no less prominent in the musical world of the mid-nineteenth to early-twentieth centuries: operas and orchestral works composed by the likes of Mussorgsky, Stravinsky, Rimsky-Korsakov and Liadov draw upon many aspects of folk music and archetypal characters from the skazka. This essay will examine the interaction and interdependence of these art forms, their shared roots in Slavic mythology, and the scale of the impact of these influences on modern Russian culture, with particular regard to music.

The mythological roots of Russian folklore

Many of the elements of Russian folklore can be traced back to their roots in the ritualistic pagan beliefs of the ancient Slavs; across Russia, what is now modern-day Ukraine, and other Slavic nations. Unlike the Greeks, Romans, and other peoples, not much is known about the beliefs or mythology of the prehistoric Slavs, and concrete evidence of this was only discovered in the 1st and 2nd centuries A.D. However, the sheer vastness of Russia and the surrounding areas, and the diversity of the people who inhabited them, means that these tribes were home to a real wealth of religious customs and beliefs. Invasion and occupation by groups such as the Scythian, Sarmatian, and Germanic peoples, as well as contact with the nomadic Iranian Scyths and Celtic tribes, had a significant linguistic, religious and mythological impact upon the Slavonic peoples. Despite this huge diversity, Slavic tribes shared many common beliefs and rituals. Given that these peoples were surrounded by and subject to the forces of nature, an unrivalled power that they could not yet understand, it seems inevitable that they would revere and worship it. This worshipping of nature in all its forms

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