Identifying the investment property and completing the purchase.
Identifying and Evaluating an Investment Property
Property Selection
Property Type: For this example, let's assume we're interested in a residential rental property in a growing neighborhood in Kisumu, Kenya.
Criteria:
- Price Point: Targeting properties within a budget of KES 10-15 million.
- Location: A desirable area with good schools, amenities, and potential for rental demand.
- Property Condition: A property that requires moderate renovations to increase its value.
Selected Property: A 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom house with a backyard in a popular neighborhood.
Comparable Properties
Three comparable properties were identified:
- Property A: Similar size and location, sold recently for KES 12.5 million.
- Property B: Slightly larger, in a more desirable area, sold for KES 14 million.
- Property C: Smaller, in a less desirable area, sold for KES 10 million.
Offer Price: Based on the comparable properties, I would offer KES 11.5 million for the selected property.
Investment Plan
Renovations:
- Kitchen: Update appliances, cabinets, and countertops.
- Bathrooms: Replace fixtures, tile, and vanities.
- Interior: Paint, flooring, and lighting.
- Exterior: Landscaping, repainting, and minor repairs.
Estimated Costs: KES 2 million
ARV (After Repair Value): Considering the comparable properties and the estimated value of the renovations, the ARV is projected to be around KES 14 million.
Cash Flow Analysis
Assumptions:
- Rental Income: KES 30,000 per month
- Mortgage: KES 100,000 per month (assuming a 20% down payment)
- Expenses: Property taxes, insurance, maintenance, and management fees (KES 20,000 per month)
Pro Forma Cash Flow Statement (3 Years)
| Year | Rental Income | Mortgage | Expenses | Renovations | Net Cash Flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KES 360,000 | KES 1,200,000 | KES 240,000 | KES 2,000,000 | KES -2,000,000 |
| 2 | KES 360,000 | KES 1,200,000 | KES 240,000 | 0 | KES -120,000 |
| 3 | KES 360,000 | KES 1,200,000 | KES 240,000 | 0 | KES -120,000 |
Analysis:
Based on this pro forma, the property does not generate positive cash flow in the first three years due to the initial renovation costs. However, the ARV suggests a potential for significant appreciation.
Additional Considerations:
- Market Trends: Analyze rental market trends in Kisumu to assess the long-term viability of the investment.
- Tax Implications: Consider tax benefits such as depreciation and rental income deductions.
- Risk Assessment: Evaluate potential risks, such as tenant turnover, property damage, and economic downturns.