Predictive Analytics

 

T​‌‍‍‍‌‍‍‌‍‌‌‍‍‍‌‍‌‌‌‍​he concept of predictive analytics: What are some of the principal challenges a project manager may encounter when applying predictive analytics to their project?​‌‍‍‍‌‍‍‌‍‌‌‍‍‍‌‍‌‌‌‍​Discuss the purpose of predictive analytics and how it can assist project managers? P.S. instructor instruction: – please use 3 references include ( URL )​‌‍‍‍‌‍‍‌‍‌‌‍‍‍‌‍‌‌‌‍​.

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Predictive Analytics

Predictive analytics is a branch of analytics that uses historical data, machine learning, and artificial intelligence (AI) to help users act preemptively. Predictive analytics answers this question, “what is most likely to happen on my current data, and what can I do to change that outcome. Predictive analytics aids banks in approving credit or detecting suspicious activity, e-mail providers in filtering spam, and retailers in predicting customer`s likelihood to churn out or purchase products. But predictive analytics is a complex capability, and therefore implementing it is also complicated and comes with challenges. Common predictive analytics challenges include: expertise – it is a challenge because predictive analytics are typically designed for data scientists who have deep understanding of statistical modeling, R, and Python; adoption – the more difficult a new technology is to use, the less likely end users are to adopt it; empowering end users – no information is valuable in a vacuum; and burdensome project lists.

Firstly, Vittola discusses one of the just causes of war, most importantly, is when harm is inflicted but he does mention the harm does not lead to war, it depends on the extent or proportionality, another condition to jus ad bellum (Begby et al (2006b), Page 314). Frowe, however, argues the idea of “just cause” based on “Sovereignty” which refers to the protection of political and territorial rights, along with human rights. In contemporary view, this view is more complicated to answer, given the rise of globalisation. Similarly, it is difficult to measure proportionality, particularly in war, because not only that there is an epistemic problem in calculating, but again today’s world has developed (Frowe (2011), Page 54-6).

Furthermore, Vittola argues war is necessary, not only for defensive purposes, ‘since it is lawful to resist force with force,’ but also to fight against the unjust, an offensive war, nations which are not punished for acting unjustly towards its own people or have unjustly taken land from the home nation (Begby et al (2006b), Page 310&313); to “teach its enemies a lesson,” but mainly to achieve the aim of war. This validates Aristotle’s argument: ‘there must be war for the sake of peace (Aristotle (1996), Page 187). However, Frowe argues “self-defence” has a plurality of descriptions, seen in Chapter 1, showing that self-defence cannot always justify one’s actions. Even more problematic, is the case of self-defence in war, where two conflicting views are established: The Collectivists, a whole new theory and the Individualists, the continuation of the domestic theory of self-defence (Frowe (2011), Page 9& 29-34). More importantly, Frowe refutes Vittola’s view on vengeance because firstly it empowers the punisher’s authority, but also today’s world prevents this action between countries through legal bodies like the UN, since we have modernised into a relatively peaceful society (Frowe (2011), Page 80-1). Most importantly, Frowe further refutes Vittola

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